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This breakdown is brought to you by John “DrewPeacoq8″ (@DrewPeacoq8).
Carbon Poker, online poker site. $1/$2 PLO Cash Game. Effective stack ~$300 (Max Buy-in $200).
The villain in this hand seemed to be a competent player. They were very aggressive in position, as they should be in PLO, but they weren’t just spewing off chips either. That was all I really knew after about 40 hands at this table with them. A weak player limped the CO, and the Villain made it $9 (I was doing the same to the weaker players limping when I had position), I called in SB with 5k75hhss and of course the limper did as well. I flopped top set, and it checked to the villain who bet $21.75 into $29 on a flop of 543dd. I decided they were going to be continuation betting every time in this spot, so instead of raising I decided to play my hand like a draw and just call, the passive player in CO also called. Then the turn comes the Qh, and the villain pots it. Now we have a decision… I went thru the 3 most likely combos of hands he could have here that they would double barrel and then decided that against my perceived range they are not likely folding a set of 4’s/3’s, or 1st or 2nd NFD to a turn shove, but if they have the current nuts (67), or 2nd nuts (A2), and the board pairs/flush comes on the river I don’t know that they will be putting many more chips into the pot. Also, I don’t really know if I can just call the turn, and fold to a scary river, so I decide then to get it in against the part of his range I’m ahead of and also knowing if I’m behind I can still catch up.